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Department of Mechanical Engineering
INDUSCON 2025 in Sao Sebastiao, Brazil

Talk @ INDUSCON 2025

Logo of Sao Sebastiao © RCS​/​JVR
Johannes van Randenborgh presented his talk “MPC for Aquifer Thermal Energy Storage Systems Using ARX Models” at the INDUSCON 2025 in Sao Sebastiao, Brazil.

The talk was presented at the International Conference on Industry Applications (INDUSCON), which took place in Sao Sebastiao, Brazil. Johannes presented his publication “MPC for Aquifer Thermal Energy Storage Systems”.  We would like to thank the organizing committee for having the opportunity to present our latest research at INDUSCON 2025.

Abstract of the talk: An aquifer thermal energy storage (ATES) can mitigate CO2 emissions of heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems for buildings. In application, an ATES keeps large quantities of thermal energy in groundwater-saturated aquifers. Normally, an ATES system comprises two (one for heat and one for cold) storages and supports the heating and cooling efforts of simultaneously present HVAC system components. This way, the operation and emissions of installed and, usually, fossil fuel-based components are reduced. The control of ATES systems is challenging, and various control schemes, including model predictive control (MPC), have been proposed. In this context, we present a lightweight input-output-data-based autoregressive with exogenous input (ARX) model of the hybrid ATES system dynamics. The ARX model allows the design of an output-based MPC scheme, resulting in an easy-to-solve quadratic program and avoiding challenging state estimations of ground temperatures. A numerical study discusses the accuracy of the ARX predictor and controller performance.

Picture of Johannes in front of a poster showing Induscon informations © RCS​/​JVR